New Mexico vs Wyoming 11/19/2011

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Wyoming is a heavy favorite winning 89% of simulations over New Mexico. Brett Smith is averaging 276 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per simulation and Alvester Alexander is projected for 70 rushing yards and a 58% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 11% of simulations where New Mexico wins, B.R. Holbrook averages 0.69 TD passes vs 0.32 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.31 TDs to 0.54 interceptions. Crusoe Gongbay averages 48 rushing yards and 0.63 rushing TDs when New Mexico wins and 43 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Wyoming has a 67% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WYO -24

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